Impact of nonpharmaceutical interventions on the burden of respiratory infections during and after the pandemic
Project objectives
This modeling consortium will explore the medium- and long-term impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) used during the COVID-19 pandemic on respiratory infections such as respiratory syncytial virus, influenza, and pneumococcal disease. The goal here is to develop an integrated model to simulate the transmission of various respiratory infections and the collateral effects of NPIs on their medium- and long-term disease burden. This involves working with 10 partners from Germany and Poland to use evidence synthesis and population-based surveys to better understand the dynamics of respiratory infections during and after the pandemic and to create integrated modeling and a platform for short-term predictions.
Project structure
The RESPINOW project consists of several subprojects working together to create an integrated model to simulate the transmission of various respiratory infections and to better understand the post-pandemic dynamics of these infections.
Subproject 1
Harmonization and analysis of available data to compile a global dataset on immunity markers, infection prevalence, and disease burden of respiratory infections during and after NPIs.
Subproject 2
Survey of RSV, influenza, and pneumococcal disease dynamics and contact behavior in a population-based cohort during and after the pandemic.
Subproject 3
Modeling the spread of multiple pathogens under realistic conditions to quantify the impact of specific interventions on the endemic equilibrium.
Subproject 4
Nowcasting and short-term forecasts for multiple respiratory diseases in real time.
Project managers
Dr. Berit Lange
Coordinator
Head of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research
PD Dr. Claudia Denkinger
Coordinator Subproject 1
Clinical Tropical Medicine, Universität Heidelberg (UHD)
Dr. Berit Lange
Coordinator Subproject 2
Head of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Epidemiology, Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research
Dr. Viola Priesemann
Coordinator Subproject 3
Max Planck Institute for Dynamics and Self-Organization, Göttingen (MPIDS)
Prof. Melanie Schienle
Dr. Johannes Bracher
Coordinators Subproject 4
Chair of Statistics and Econometrics, Institute of Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT)
Project partners
Dr. Nicole Schneiderhan-Marra
Subproject 2
Natural and Medical Sciences Institute, Tübingen (NMI)
Dr. Rolf Kaiser
Subproject 1,3,4
Department of Virology, Universität zu Köln (UCo)
Prof. André Karch
Dr. Veronika Jaeger
Subproject 1,2
Institute for Epidemiology and Social Medicine, Universität Münster (WWU)
Dr. Wolfgang Bock
Subproject 3,4
Department of Mathematics, Technische Universität Kaiserslautern (UKa)
Jun. Prof. Dr. Alexander Kuhlmann
Subproject 3,4
Working Group for Health Economics and Healthcare research, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg (MLU)
Prof. Rafael Mikolajczyk
Dr. Cornelia Gottschick
Subproject 1,3
Institute for Medical Epidemiology, Biometry and Informatics, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg (MLU)
Prof. Dr. Michael Höhle
Subproject 1,3,4
Immunization Prevention Unit, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Robert Koch Institute (RKI)