Model-based evaluation of school lockdowns and other containment interventions for Covid-19

Project objectives

The overarching goal of the consortium is to investigate the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics, with an initial specific focus on school lockdowns. Specific model-based courses of action will be formulated for these interventions and combinations of interventions to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Furthermore, the project aims at a better understanding of infection chains and spread dynamics within urban areas as well as in a regional and nationwide context. 

Project structure

MODUS consists of two subprojects.

Subproject 1 - TU Berlin

The goal of the subproject is to extend the mesoscopic traffic simulation to simulate infection dynamics, test and process the mobile radio-based movement patterns provided by a subcontract, and integrate NPIs and new variants of concern (VOCs) into the agent-based model.

Subproject 2 - Zuse Institut (ZIB)

The subproject comprises the extension of the simulation methodology by further infection models, the identification of important model parameters on the basis of empirical data and the transfer of the parameterizations into the models. In addition, a high-performance computing infrastructure for the calculation of infection dynamics is provided within this subproject.

Project leaders and partners

Subproject 1

Prof. Dr. Kai Nagel


TU Berlin

Subproject 2

Prof. Dr. Tim Conrad