2nd National Conference on Infectious Disease Modeling

13 – 15 March 2024

On 15 March 2024, only internal sessions of the modeling consortia will take place.

German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina

Halle (Saale)

Programme

13th March

14th March

15th March

13th of March 2024

09:00 – 09:55

Registration

10:00 – 10:45

Welcoming

Moderation: Alexander Kuhlmann & Rafael Mikolajczyk (MONID Board)

Welcome from the

  • MONID Board (Highlights)
  • Dean of the Medical Faculty Prof. Dr. Heike Kielstein
  • Parliamentary State Secretary Mario Brandenburg 
  • RKI President Prof. Dr. Lars Schaade

10:45 – 11:45

KEYNOTE I – Julia Fitzner (WHO)

Moderation: A. Kuhlmann

11:45 – 12:15

ELEVATOR PITCHES

Moderation: A. Kuhlmann

12:15 – 14:00

LUNCH BREAK & GROUP PHOTO

14:00 – 16:00

GUIDED POSTERSESSION

Moderation: J. Horn & V. Jäger

16:00 – 16:30

COFFEE BREAK

16:30 – 17:30

 

 

ORALS I “Technical Application”

Kai Nagel:
“Explicit modeling of antibody levels for infectious disease simulations in the context of SARS-CoV-2”

Elizabeth Goult:
“Estimating the optimal age for infant measles vaccination”

Beryl Musundi:
“Multi-scale Modeling of Infectious Diseases: Linking Within-host and Between-host Dynamics”

Martin Kühn:
“Hybrid epidemiological models for efficient insight on the individual scale: a contribution to green computing”

Philipp Dönges:
“When and why weakly-coupled compartmental models can be used for simultaneously spreading diseases”

Antonia Bartz:
“Guidelines on quality assessment and reporting of mathematical modelling studies for infectious disease dynamics: A scoping review”

 

17:30 – 18:45

 

PANEL I “Contacts and diversity in models”

Moderation: A. Karch & A. Kuhlmann & R. Mikolajczyk

Luca Ferretti:
“Insights into transmission risk and drivers of epidemic dynamics from digital contact tracing”

Veronika Jäger:
„Different ways to collect contact information“

Jan Pablo Burgard:
“Gesyland – A Synthetic Twin Population of Germany”

David Kerkmann:
“Estimating contact patterns for agent-based models”

Beate Jahn:
„Measuring Health Inequality – Potential Applications and Challenges“

Discussion

18:45 – 19:00

 

Special Lecture:

Stefan Moritz:
“RESTART – Introduction”

Moderation: R. Mikolajczyk

19:00

GET TOGETHER & DINNER

14th of March 2024

09:00 – 10:00

KEYNOTE II – Niel Hens (Hasselt University and University of Antwerp)

Moderation: A. Kuhlmann

10:00 – 11:00

ORALS II “Agent-based Models”

Moderation:  N. Leithäuser

David Kerkmann:
“Implementation of a highly detailed agent-based model to explore the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions and testing strategies in Brunswick during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic”

Johannes Horn:
“Modelling the impact of mass gathering events (MGE) on potential future pandemics”

Johannes Ponge:
“How to Make Large-Scale Individual-Based Infectious Disease Models Fast”

Franciszek Rakowski:
“Post-hoc Analysis of Covid-19 Mortality in Poland: Insights from the ICM Epidemiological Model”

Tyll Krüger:
“Factoring out the contribution of households to COVID-19 prevalence across European countries”

Beate Jahn:
“Evaluation of Vaccination Strategies Considering a Vaccine Adapted to a New Variant of Concern – A Decision-Analytic Modeling Study”

11:00 – 11:30

COFFEE BREAK

11:30 – 12:30

ORALS III “Behaviour”

Leonard Stellbrink:
“Comparative Modeling of Pandemic Behavior: Static vs. Dynamic Agent-Based Approaches”

Lilian Kojan:
“Modeling intervention compliance behavior: Insights from a cross-sectional survey”

Veronika Kurchyna:
“Generation of Consistent Agent Plans using Strategy Patterns and Axiomatic Logic”

Sally Lago:
“Mathematical Modelling on The Effects of Cultural Practices on HIV Treatment in Luo-Nyanza Region”

Sabine Wüst:
“Modelling the influence of environmental stressors on the spread of communicable diseases”

Matthias Horn:
“Mathematical modeling of pneumococcal transmission and disease dynamics in the German population”

12:30 – 13:00

UPDATE MONID BOARD & POSTER AWARDS

A. Kuhlmann & R. Mikolajczyk & B. Lange

13:00 – 14:15

LUNCH BREAK

14:15 – 15.15

ORALS IV “Data acquisition & Fitting”

Moderation:  M. Scholz

Jan Mohring:
“Estimating the Covid-19 Prevalence from Wastewater”

Nina Schmid:
“Demonstration of an Integrative Modelling Approach of Infectious Diseases”

Karina Wallrafen-Sam:
“Cost-Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccination Strategies in Resource-Constrained Settings: Data from Ethiopia”

Yuri Kheifetz:
“Modelling complete dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 pandemics of Germany and its federal states using multiple levels of data”

Felix Günther:
“Fitting a dynamic transmission model of meningococcal carriage and vaccination to national surveillance data and the vaccine coverage in Germany, 2005-2019”

Isti Rodiah:
“Improving post-pandemic RSV projections in Germany: A comprehensive approach integrating adaptive dynamic modeling and population-based data – RESPINOW Study”

15:15 – 16:30

PANEL II – “Modeling and model parametrization for respiratory infections”

Moderation: M. Kühn & B. Lange

Intro – B. Lange & M. Kühn: “Ongoing work in four selected research consortia, open problems and approaches”

Sarah Kramer:
“Parameterizing Models of Cocirculating Pathogens: Using models to characterize pathogen-pathogen interactions”

Ullrich Köthe:
“Solving inverse problems with machine learning”

Stefan Flasche:
“Uncertainties in parametrizing vaccination strategies for respiratory infections”

Discussion – B. Lange & M. Kühn: “Current challenges in parametrization of mathematical-epidemiological models”

16:30 – 17:00

COFFEE BREAK

17:00 – 17:30

YOUNG MONID PANEL

Moderation: B. Musundi & C. Klett-Tammen

17:30 – 19:00

PANEL III – “Adaptive behaviour in modelling”

Moderation: TBA

 Viola Priesemann:
“The role of behavioral reactions to high case numbers”

Michael Maes:
“Protective Behavior, Opinion Polarization, Disease Dynamics.”

Lilian Kojan:
“(How) can we utilize behavioral science for epidemiological modeling”

Kai Nagel:
“Quantitative findings of the effect of mobility on infection spreading, and of disease indicators on mobility”

Mirjam Kretzschmar:
“Impact of adherence and stringency on the effectiveness of lockdown measures”

19:00 – 19:10

FAREWELL

A. Kuhlmann & R. Mikolajczyk & B. Lange

15th of March 2024

INTERNAL SESSIONS OF THE CONSORTIA

08:30 – 15:00

OptimAgent + RESPINOW

09:00 – 13:00

INSIDe

09:00 – 12:00

PROGNOSIS

09:00 – 12:00

SEMSAI

09:00 – 13:00

MODUS-Covid

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